Bet with MINO CASINO →Osasuna meet Athletic Club on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Osasuna are 15th with 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), whereas Athletic Club are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Osasuna have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Athletic Club average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Osasuna: 3W 2D 5L, goals 10–20; Athletic Club: 4W 3D 3L, goals 14–10.
- Head to head. In their 28 meetings so far, Osasuna have 6 wins, Athletic Club have 15 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–41.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 28; Osasuna 6 wins, 7 draws, Athletic Club 15 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Osasuna 10–20, Athletic Club 14–10.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Osasuna 0, Athletic Club 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Osasuna are missing: no absences. Athletic Club are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.75 | 3.59 | 2.23 |
| Market average | 3.46 | 3.37 | 2.12 |
| Lowest odds | 3.13 | 3.02 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 70.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.06 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.77 | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.52 | 26.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.82 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.96 | 1.92 | 48.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Osasuna 15th (11 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Osasuna 3W 2D 5L (10:20), Athletic Club 4W 3D 3L (14:10).
- H2H: 28 matches: Osasuna 6W 7D 15L, goals 25–41.
- Absences: Osasuna 0, Athletic Club 0.
Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: who is missing
Osasuna
- No reported absences
Athletic Club
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Osasuna
Home and away
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
OsasunaLLWLDAthletic ClubWWLDDOsasuna vs Athletic Club: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Our result tip is Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88). The safer pick is Draw or Athletic Club (X2).
Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Our probabilities: Osasuna to win 27%, a draw 28%, Athletic Club to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.
Who will be missing?
Osasuna: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.13); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–2 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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