Bet with MINO CASINO →Swindon Town meet Grimsby on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at County Ground (Swindon). Grimsby (46%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Swindon Town are 13th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Grimsby are 6th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Swindon Town have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Grimsby average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Swindon Town: 5W 4D 5L, goals 15–17; Grimsby: 5W 5D 4L, goals 24–18.
What to expect
Grimsby should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Swindon Town 15–17, Grimsby 24–18.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Swindon Town 0, Grimsby 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Swindon Town are missing: no absences. Grimsby are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.30 | 3.66 | 2.05 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.61 | 2.01 |
| Lowest odds | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.99 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.32 | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.44 | 2.41 | 38.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Swindon Town 1–1 Grimsby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swindon Town 13th (19 points), Grimsby 6th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Swindon Town 5W 4D 5L (15:17), Grimsby 5W 5D 4L (24:18).
- Absences: Swindon Town 0, Grimsby 0.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: who is missing
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
Grimsby
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Swindon Town
Home and away
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Swindon TownWDWDLGrimsbyWWDLLReturns calculator
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Our result tip is Grimsby to win (odds 2.05), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Grimsby (X2).
Who will win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Our probabilities: Swindon Town to win 29%, a draw 26%, Grimsby to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at County Ground, Swindon.
Who will be missing?
Swindon Town: no absences. Grimsby: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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