Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers are at home to Swindon Town on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Memorial Stadium (Bristol), with S. Stockbridge as the referee. Our favourites are Bristol Rovers (56%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points after 14 matches (5W 1D 8L), whereas Swindon Town are 13th with 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Bristol Rovers have 4 wins, Swindon Town have 6 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–20.
What to expect
Bristol Rovers should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Bristol Rovers 4 wins, 5 draws, Swindon Town 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bristol Rovers are missing: no absences. Swindon Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.71 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.73 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 10:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol Rovers 17th (16 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Bristol Rovers 4W 5D 6L, goals 13–20.
- Absences: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: who is missing
Bristol Rovers
- No reported absences
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Our result tip is Bristol Rovers to win (odds 1.71), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48). The safer pick is Bristol Rovers or draw (1X).
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Our probabilities: Bristol Rovers to win 56%, a draw 24%, Swindon Town to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Memorial Stadium, Bristol. Referee: S. Stockbridge.
Who will be missing?
Bristol Rovers: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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