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League Two · Matchweek 13 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Gillingham vs Grimsby: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, League Two

1–4
WWDLL
1Gillingham3.40
XDraw3.55
2Grimsby2.18

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 13:59

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Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gillingham meet Grimsby on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham), refereed by S. Mulhall. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Gillingham vs Grimsby: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Grimsby (X2)
1.37
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
71%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Gillingham vs Grimsby: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Gillingham are 8th with 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), whereas Grimsby are 6th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
  2. Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Gillingham have 1 win, Grimsby have 5 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–16.

What to expect

Grimsby should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 9; Gillingham 1 win, 3 draws, Grimsby 5 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  4. Absent: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Gillingham are missing: no absences. Grimsby are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Gillingham vs Grimsby: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.403.552.18
Market average3.283.422.13
Lowest odds3.153.252.07
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2275.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7852.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.041.9847.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9431.5%
BTTS – yes1.671.6357.1%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Grimsby 6th (20 points).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Gillingham 1W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
  • Absences: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.

Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?

Gillingham29%
Draw27%
Grimsby44%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Gillingham vs Grimsby: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Grimsby (X2)71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.37
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.5% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
Likely
Both sides to score: yes57.1% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.04
Outsider
Grimsby to win44.0% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both sides to score: no42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.5% · fair odds 3.17 · best 3.10
Outsider
Gillingham to win28.6% · fair odds 3.50 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw27.4% · fair odds 3.65 · best 3.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 19.9%
1 : 29.2%
0 : 27.7%
1 : 07.7%
2 : 17.1%

Gillingham vs Grimsby: who is missing

Gillingham

  • No reported absences

Grimsby

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Gillingham vs Grimsby: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Gillingham

31 OctWShrewsbury 1–2 Gillingham
24 OctLGillingham 1–4 Grimsby
20 OctDGillingham 1–1 Port Vale
17 OctLAccrington ST 3–1 Gillingham
10 OctWRotherham 1–4 Gillingham

Grimsby

31 OctWGrimsby 5–2 York
24 OctWGillingham 1–4 Grimsby
20 OctDRochdale 2–2 Grimsby
17 OctLGrimsby 0–2 Northampton
10 OctLPort Vale 1–0 Grimsby

Home and away

Gillingham at home7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 8–9
Grimsby away7 matches: 1W 4D 2L, goals 11–10

Gillingham vs Grimsby: head to head

All matches
1Gillingham
3Draws
5Grimsby
24/10/26 · Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby
18/4/26 · Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby
18/10/25 · Grimsby 1–0 Gillingham
28/1/25 · Grimsby 1–1 Gillingham
1/10/24 · Gillingham 0–1 Grimsby
16/3/24 · Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Gillingham vs Grimsby: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Gillingham vs Grimsby?

Our result tip is Draw or Grimsby (X2) (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Grimsby (X2).

Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?

Our probabilities: Gillingham to win 29%, a draw 27%, Grimsby to win 44%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham. Referee: S. Mulhall.

Who will be missing?

Gillingham: no absences. Grimsby: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.04).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.