Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Gillingham meet Grimsby on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham), refereed by S. Mulhall. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Gillingham are 8th with 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), whereas Grimsby are 6th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Gillingham have 1 win, Grimsby have 5 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–16.
What to expect
Grimsby should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Gillingham 1 win, 3 draws, Grimsby 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Gillingham are missing: no absences. Grimsby are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.28 | 3.42 | 2.13 |
| Lowest odds | 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.78 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Grimsby 6th (20 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Gillingham 1W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Absences: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Gillingham vs Grimsby: who is missing
Gillingham
- No reported absences
Grimsby
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Gillingham vs Grimsby: head to head
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Gillingham vs Grimsby: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Our result tip is Draw or Grimsby (X2) (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Grimsby (X2).
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Our probabilities: Gillingham to win 29%, a draw 27%, Grimsby to win 44%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham. Referee: S. Mulhall.
Who will be missing?
Gillingham: no absences. Grimsby: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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