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League Two · Matchweek 14 · 31 October 2026 · 15:00

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: tip, odds and prediction – 31 October 2026, League Two

2–1
1Swindon Town2.35
XDraw3.66
2Rotherham2.99

Best available odds · Updated 31/10/26, 13:41

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Swindon Town meet Rotherham on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at County Ground (Swindon), refereed by I. Searle. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Swindon Town or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.45
67%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Swindon Town vs Rotherham: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.353.662.99
Market average2.293.492.84
Lowest odds2.253.122.46
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.731.7254.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.0645.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.7333.9%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.3%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Swindon Town 1–1 Rotherham, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Swindon Town 13th (19 points), Rotherham 22nd (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Swindon Town 4W 4D 5L (13:16), Rotherham 2W 6D 5L (17:23).
  • H2H: 6 matches: Swindon Town 5W 0D 1L, goals 14–7.
  • Absences: Swindon Town 0, Rotherham 0.

Who will win Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

Swindon Town41%
Draw27%
Rotherham33%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.24
Likely
Swindon Town or draw (1X)67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.45
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.3% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.5% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.73
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.30
Outsider
Swindon Town to win40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.35
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.80
Outsider
Rotherham to win32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 2.99
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.66
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.07
probability of over 54.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 18.8%
1 : 08.7%
1 : 27.9%
0 : 17.8%
2 : 06.5%

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: who is missing

Swindon Town

  • No reported absences

Rotherham

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Swindon Town

31 OctWSwindon Town 2–1 Rotherham
24 OctDBristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
20 OctWBarnet 1–3 Swindon Town
17 OctDSwindon Town 1–1 Walsall
10 OctLSwindon Town 0–1 Crewe

Rotherham

31 OctLSwindon Town 2–1 Rotherham
24 OctDRotherham 3–3 Shrewsbury
20 OctDRotherham 2–2 Newport County
17 OctLFleetwood Town 2–0 Rotherham
10 OctLRotherham 1–4 Gillingham

Home and away

Swindon Town at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 12–7
Rotherham away7 matches: 1W 1D 5L, goals 5–10

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Swindon Town are 13th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Rotherham are 22nd with 12 points (2W 6D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Swindon Town have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Rotherham average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Swindon Town: 4W 4D 5L, goals 13–16; Rotherham: 2W 6D 5L, goals 17–23.
  4. Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Swindon Town have 5 wins, Rotherham have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–7.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 6; Swindon Town 5 wins, 0 draws, Rotherham 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Swindon Town 13–16, Rotherham 17–23.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
  5. Absent: Swindon Town 0, Rotherham 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Swindon Town are missing: no absences. Rotherham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: team stats compared

Swindon TownRotherham
71%Form29%
40%Attack60%
75%Defence25%
80%Head to head20%
67%Goals33%
67.2%Overall32.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Swindon TownWDWDL
RotherhamLDDLL

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: head to head

All matches
5Swindon Town
0Draws
1Rotherham
31/10/26 · Swindon Town 2–1 Rotherham
1/11/25 · Rotherham 1–2 Swindon Town
3/5/14 · Swindon Town 1–2 Rotherham
12/10/13 · Rotherham 0–4 Swindon Town
14/1/12 · Rotherham 1–2 Swindon Town
3/9/11 · Swindon Town 3–2 Rotherham

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.7%

Swindon Town vs Rotherham: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

Our result tip is Swindon Town or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Swindon Town or draw (1X).

Who will win Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

Our probabilities: Swindon Town to win 41%, a draw 27%, Rotherham to win 33%.

What time and where is kick-off?

31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at County Ground, Swindon. Referee: I. Searle.

Who will be missing?

Swindon Town: no absences. Rotherham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.73); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–0 (8.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.