Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barnet are at home to Swindon Town on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London), with B. Atkinson as the referee. Our favourites are Barnet (64%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Barnet are 2nd with 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L), whereas Swindon Town are 13th with 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
What to expect
Barnet should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Barnet are missing: no absences. Swindon Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.50 | 4.92 | 6.50 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.55 | 5.85 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.19 | 5.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.51 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Barnet 2–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
- Absences: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Barnet vs Swindon Town: who is missing
Barnet
- No reported absences
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Barnet vs Swindon Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our result tip is Barnet to win (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Barnet or draw (1X).
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our probabilities: Barnet to win 64%, a draw 20%, Swindon Town to win 16%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Atkinson.
Who will be missing?
Barnet: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 2–0 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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