Bet with MINO CASINO →Sparta Praha are at home to Bournemouth on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Letná (Prague). Our favourites are Bournemouth (63%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sparta Praha are 16th with 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), whereas Bournemouth are 3rd with 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Sparta Praha have scored 1.7 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Bournemouth average 2.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 1W 1D 1L, goals 5–3; Bournemouth: 3W 0D 0L, goals 8–1.
What to expect
Bournemouth should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sparta Praha 5–3, Bournemouth 8–1.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Sparta Praha 7, Bournemouth 8.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sparta Praha are missing: M. Andersen, A. Karabec, J. Mercado, O. Penxa, M. Rynes, A. Sevinsky, E. Uchenna. Bournemouth are without: M. Aarons, J. Araujo, F. Forster, D. Jebbison, V. Milosavljevic, J. Sánchez, A. Scott, A. Toth. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.50 | 4.72 | 1.52 |
| Market average | 5.99 | 4.49 | 1.49 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.12 | 1.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.59 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.35 | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.09 | 44.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Praha 0–2 Bournemouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sparta Praha 16th (4 points), Bournemouth 3rd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 1W 1D 1L (5:3), Bournemouth 3W 0D 0L (8:1).
- Absences: Sparta Praha 7, Bournemouth 8.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: who is missing
Sparta Praha
- M. Andersenknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Karabecankle injury · will miss the match
- J. Mercadocalf injury · will miss the match
- O. Penxaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Rynesankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Sevinskyinjury · will miss the match
- E. Uchennagroin injury · will miss the match
Bournemouth
- M. Aaronsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Araujothigh injury · will miss the match
- F. Forsternot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Jebbisonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- V. Milosavljevicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Sáncheznot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Scottthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Tothmuscle injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Sparta Praha
Home and away
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sparta PrahaLDWBournemouthWWWReturns calculator
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.64); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our probabilities: Sparta Praha to win 16%, a draw 21%, Bournemouth to win 63%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stadion Letná, Prague.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Praha: M. Andersen, A. Karabec, J. Mercado, O. Penxa, M. Rynes, A. Sevinsky, E. Uchenna. Bournemouth: M. Aarons, J. Araujo, F. Forster, D. Jebbison, V. Milosavljevic, J. Sánchez, A. Scott, A. Toth. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.4%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.