Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bournemouth v AC Milan is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth); Vassilis Fotias takes charge. We think Bournemouth (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bournemouth are 3rd with 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L), whereas AC Milan are 24th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Bournemouth have 1 win, AC Milan have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–0.
What to expect
Bournemouth should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Bournemouth 1 win, 0 draws, AC Milan 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Bournemouth 0, AC Milan 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bournemouth are missing: no absences. AC Milan are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.14 | 4.02 | 4.19 |
| Market average | 1.87 | 3.81 | 3.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.58 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.81 | 2.73 | 34.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 3rd (9 points), AC Milan 24th (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Bournemouth 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Absences: Bournemouth 0, AC Milan 0.
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: who is missing
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
AC Milan
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Bournemouth
Home and away
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Our result tip is Bournemouth to win (odds 2.14), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Bournemouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Our probabilities: Bournemouth to win 51%, a draw 25%, AC Milan to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Referee: Vassilis Fotias.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: no absences. AC Milan: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.