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Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 14:00

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: tip, odds and prediction – 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

5–1
1Sparta Praha1.29
XDraw6.21
2Slovácko10.50

Best available odds · Updated 25/10/26, 13:15

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sparta Praha v Slovácko is on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadion Letná (Prague); Antonín Bohata takes charge. We think Sparta Praha (74%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: tip and prediction
Result
Sparta Praha to win
1.29
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.53
Combo
Sparta Praha plus over 2.5 goals
1.86
54% · combo fair price
74%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sparta Praha or draw (1X) – 90% probability, top odds 1.07. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.296.2110.50
Market average1.265.669.60
Lowest odds1.225.009.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1282.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.531.4663.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.662.5836.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.272.1942.8%
BTTS – yes2.001.8450.6%
BTTS – no1.951.8849.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Slovácko, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sparta Praha 4th (23 points), Slovácko 15th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 6W 1D 4L (20:12), Slovácko 1W 4D 6L (10:18).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Sparta Praha 12W 4D 5L, goals 43–24.
  • Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Sparta Praha74%
Draw16%
Slovácko10%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: more markets and betting tips

Sparta Praha or draw (1X)90.3% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Sparta Praha to win73.8% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.9% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 2.00
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.27
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.1% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.66
Outsider
Draw16.5% · fair odds 6.07 · best 6.21
Outsider
Slovácko to win9.7% · fair odds 10.30 · best 10.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.9%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.5%
3 : 09.6%
1 : 09.2%
2 : 19.2%
3 : 17.7%
1 : 17.4%

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: who is missing

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

Slovácko

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Slovácko

31 OctLSlovácko 1–3 Teplice
25 OctLSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
18 OctLSlovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
11 OctWSlovan Liberec 0–2 Slovácko
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava

Home and away

Sparta Praha at home6 matches: 5W 0D 1L, goals 16–6
Slovácko away7 matches: 1W 1D 5L, goals 6–16

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Sparta Praha are 4th with 23 points after 13 matches (7W 2D 4L), whereas Slovácko are 15th with 7 points (1W 4D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Sparta Praha have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Slovácko average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–12; Slovácko: 1W 4D 6L, goals 10–18.
  4. Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Sparta Praha have 12 wins, Slovácko have 5 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 43–24.

What to expect

Sparta Praha should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.29, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 21; Sparta Praha 12 wins, 4 draws, Slovácko 5 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sparta Praha 20–12, Slovácko 10–18.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
  5. Absent: Sparta Praha 0, Slovácko 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Sparta Praha are missing: no absences. Slovácko are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: team stats compared

Sparta PrahaSlovácko
67%Form33%
62%Attack38%
75%Defence25%
85%Head to head15%
68%Goals32%
73.0%Overall27.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Sparta PrahaDWDWW
SlováckoLLLWD

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: head to head

All matches
12Sparta Praha
4Draws
5Slovácko
25/10/26 · Sparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
15/3/26 · Sparta Praha 5–2 Slovácko
19/10/25 · Slovácko 0–0 Sparta Praha
2/2/25 · Slovácko 0–2 Sparta Praha
24/8/24 · Sparta Praha 2–2 Slovácko
5/5/24 · Slovácko 2–4 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Sparta Praha vs Slovácko: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Our result tip is Sparta Praha to win (odds 1.29), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Sparta Praha or draw (1X).

Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slovácko?

Our probabilities: Sparta Praha to win 74%, a draw 16%, Slovácko to win 10%.

What time and where is kick-off?

25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Antonín Bohata.

Who will be missing?

Sparta Praha: no absences. Slovácko: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.66).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 2.00).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.5%); after that come 3–0 (9.6%) and 1–0 (9.2%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.