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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Olympiakos Piraeus1.52
XDraw4.60
2Sparta Praha7.00

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus); Espen Eskås takes charge. We think Olympiakos Piraeus (64%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: tip and prediction
Result
Olympiakos Piraeus to win
1.52
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.79
Combo
Olympiakos Piraeus plus over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · combo fair price
64%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X) – 85% probability, top odds 1.13.

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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.524.607.00
Market average1.494.406.50
Lowest odds1.444.005.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2376.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.132.0845.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.972.8133.5%
BTTS – yes1.911.8550.4%
BTTS – no1.911.8849.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Olympiakos Piraeus 2–0 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Olympiakos Piraeus 5th (9 points), Sparta Praha 16th (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Olympiakos Piraeus 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0.
  • Absences: Olympiakos Piraeus 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus64%
Draw22%
Sparta Praha15%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: more markets and betting tips

Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X)85.4% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Olympiakos Piraeus to win63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.79
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.6% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.91
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.13
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.97
Outsider
Draw21.6% · fair odds 4.63 · best 4.60
Outsider
Sparta Praha to win14.6% · fair odds 6.85 · best 7.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.11 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.6%
1 : 011.6%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 19.8%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.6%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: who is missing

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • No reported absences

Sparta Praha

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Olympiakos Piraeus

22 OctWOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctWMarseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus
16 SeptWOlympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia

Sparta Praha

1 NovDBohemians 1905 0–0 Sparta Praha
25 OctWSparta Praha 5–1 Slovácko
22 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Home and away

Olympiakos Piraeus at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 3–1
Sparta Praha away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–2

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Olympiakos Piraeus are 5th with 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L), whereas Sparta Praha are 16th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Olympiakos Piraeus have 1 win, Sparta Praha have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–0.

What to expect

Olympiakos Piraeus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Olympiakos Piraeus 1 win, 0 draws, Sparta Praha 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
  4. Absent: Olympiakos Piraeus 0, Sparta Praha 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Olympiakos Piraeus are missing: no absences. Sparta Praha are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: head to head

All matches
1Olympiakos Piraeus
0Draws
0Sparta Praha
22/10/26 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Our result tip is Olympiakos Piraeus to win (odds 1.52), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.79). The safer pick is Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X).

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Our probabilities: Olympiakos Piraeus to win 64%, a draw 22%, Sparta Praha to win 15%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. Referee: Espen Eskås.

Who will be missing?

Olympiakos Piraeus: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.13).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.91).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.6%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.