Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava meet Sparta Praha on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava), refereed by Dalibor Černý. Sparta Praha (57%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.82 | 4.37 | 1.65 |
| Market average | 4.59 | 4.06 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.58 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.22 | 41.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sparta Praha, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Sparta Praha 4th (23 points).
- Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: who is missing
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Baník Ostrava
Home and away
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Baník Ostrava are 13th with 11 points after 12 matches (3W 2D 7L), whereas Sparta Praha are 4th with 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
What to expect
Sparta Praha should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Baník Ostrava 0, Sparta Praha 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Baník Ostrava are missing: no absences. Sparta Praha are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Our result tip is Sparta Praha to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Draw or Sparta Praha (X2).
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Our probabilities: Baník Ostrava to win 20%, a draw 23%, Sparta Praha to win 57%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Dalibor Černý.
Who will be missing?
Baník Ostrava: no absences. Sparta Praha: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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