Bet with MINO CASINO →Sassuolo v Genoa is on 22 November 2026 · 11:30 at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Genoa are 11th with 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Genoa are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Sassuolo 0, Genoa 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sassuolo are missing: no absences. Genoa are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.56 | 3.66 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.50 | 3.48 | 2.79 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.83 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.04 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.03 | 31.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sassuolo 1–1 Genoa, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sassuolo 17th (8 points), Genoa 11th (13 points).
- Absences: Sassuolo 0, Genoa 0.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Sassuolo vs Genoa: who is missing
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
Genoa
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Sassuolo vs Genoa: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Our result tip is Sassuolo or draw (1X) (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Sassuolo or draw (1X).
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Our probabilities: Sassuolo to win 38%, a draw 27%, Genoa to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 11:30, at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia.
Who will be missing?
Sassuolo: no absences. Genoa: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.87); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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