Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sassuolo are at home to Lazio on 27 October 2026 · 17:30 at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia), with Luca Zufferli as the referee. Our favourites are Lazio (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.72 | 3.70 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.46 | 3.54 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.18 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 16:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sassuolo 1–1 Lazio, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sassuolo 17th (8 points), Lazio 1st (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Sassuolo 2W 2D 4L (12:16), Lazio 7W 1D 0L (16:5).
- H2H: 26 matches: Sassuolo 6W 5D 15L, goals 31–52.
- Absences: Sassuolo 5, Lazio 5.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sassuolo vs Lazio: who is missing
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Idzesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
Lazio
- A. Furlanettoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Gudmundssonshoulder injury · will miss the match
- A. Marusicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Rovellacalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Pinamontiillness · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Sassuolo
Home and away
Sassuolo vs Lazio: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Lazio are 1st with 28 points (9W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Sassuolo have scored 1.5 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Lazio average 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sassuolo: 2W 2D 4L, goals 12–16; Lazio: 7W 1D 0L, goals 16–5.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, Sassuolo have 6 wins, Lazio have 15 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 31–52.
What to expect
Lazio should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; Sassuolo 6 wins, 5 draws, Lazio 15 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sassuolo 12–16, Lazio 16–5.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Sassuolo 5, Lazio 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sassuolo are missing: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Lazio are without: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella, A. Pinamonti. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SassuoloLLLLDLazioWWWWWSassuolo vs Lazio: head to head
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Sassuolo vs Lazio: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Our result tip is Lazio to win (odds 2.18), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Lazio (X2).
Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Our probabilities: Sassuolo to win 28%, a draw 27%, Lazio to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia. Referee: Luca Zufferli.
Who will be missing?
Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella, A. Pinamonti. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.74); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.3%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.