Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa are at home to Venezia on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), with Simone Sozza as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Genoa vs Venezia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Genoa are 11th with 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), whereas Venezia are 20th with 3 points (1W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Genoa have scored 0.7 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Venezia average 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 1W 1D 5L, goals 5–13; Venezia: 1W 0D 6L, goals 6–16.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Genoa have 5 wins, Venezia have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–9.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Genoa 5 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Genoa 5–13, Venezia 6–16.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Genoa are missing: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Venezia are without: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Genoa vs Venezia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.25 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.01 | 46.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 1–1 Venezia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Venezia 20th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 1W 1D 5L (5:13), Venezia 1W 0D 6L (6:16).
- H2H: 9 matches: Genoa 5W 2D 2L, goals 11–9.
- Absences: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Genoa vs Venezia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Genoa vs Venezia: who is missing
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Sowthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Genoa vs Venezia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs Venezia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWVeneziaLLLWLGenoa vs Venezia: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Genoa vs Venezia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Genoa vs Venezia?
Our result tip is Genoa or draw (1X) (odds 1.34), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Genoa or draw (1X).
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
Our probabilities: Genoa to win 43%, a draw 29%, Venezia to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.07); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (11.3%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.