Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Frosinone meet Sassuolo on 16 October 2026 · 19:45 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), refereed by Matteo Marchetti, Italy. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Frosinone are 6th with 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L), whereas Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Frosinone have 3 wins, Sassuolo have 4 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 15–15.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Frosinone 3 wins, 3 draws, Sassuolo 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Alternative tip: Frosinone or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Frosinone or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Frosinone are missing: no absences. Sassuolo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.99 | 2.83 | 33.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.1% |
| BTTS – no | 3.20 | 3.01 | 30.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 16/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Frosinone 1–1 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Frosinone 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–15.
- Absences: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: who is missing
Frosinone
- No reported absences
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Frosinone vs Sassuolo: head to head
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Frosinone vs Sassuolo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Our result tip is Frosinone or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92). The safer pick is Frosinone or draw (1X).
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Our probabilities: Frosinone to win 39%, a draw 25%, Sassuolo to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
16 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: no absences. Sassuolo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 2.99).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 69% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.4%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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