Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AS Roma v Genoa is on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome); Rosario Abisso, Italy takes charge. We think AS Roma (59%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
AS Roma vs Genoa: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.66 | 4.06 | 6.00 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 3.92 | 5.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.95 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.46 | 3.28 | 28.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AS Roma 1–0 Genoa, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Genoa 11th (13 points).
- Absences: AS Roma 0, Genoa 0.
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AS Roma vs Genoa: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AS Roma vs Genoa: who is missing
AS Roma
- No reported absences
Genoa
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Genoa: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AS Roma
Home and away
AS Roma vs Genoa: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AS Roma are 3rd with 24 points after 10 matches (7W 3D 0L), whereas Genoa are 11th with 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
AS Roma should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: AS Roma 0, Genoa 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 52%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AS Roma are missing: no absences. Genoa are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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AS Roma vs Genoa: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AS Roma vs Genoa?
Our result tip is AS Roma to win (odds 1.66), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.80). The safer pick is AS Roma or draw (1X).
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
Our probabilities: AS Roma to win 59%, a draw 24%, Genoa to win 17%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Rosario Abisso, Italy.
Who will be missing?
AS Roma: no absences. Genoa: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.01); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.7%); after that come 2–0 (11.4%) and 1–1 (10.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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