Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como v Sassuolo is on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como); Davide Di Marco, Italy takes charge. We think Como (64%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Como vs Sassuolo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Como are 4th with 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L), whereas Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Como have scored 1.7 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Sassuolo average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Como: 4W 2D 1L, goals 12–7; Sassuolo: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Como have 3 wins, Sassuolo have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–2.
What to expect
Como should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Como 3 wins, 0 draws, Sassuolo 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Como 12–7, Sassuolo 12–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Como are missing: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Sassuolo are without: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Como vs Sassuolo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.38 |
| Market average | 1.49 | 4.84 | 5.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.98 | 31.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Como 2–1 Sassuolo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 4W 2D 1L (12:7), Sassuolo 2W 2D 3L (12:14).
- H2H: 4 matches: Como 3W 0D 1L, goals 8–2.
- Absences: Como 5, Sassuolo 5.
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Como vs Sassuolo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Como vs Sassuolo: who is missing
Como
- T. Chalobahinjury · will miss the match
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- M. Liberaliabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Idzesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Como vs Sassuolo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Sassuolo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ComoWWWWDSassuoloLLLLDComo vs Sassuolo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Como vs Sassuolo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Como vs Sassuolo?
Sassuolo +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
Our probabilities: Como to win 64%, a draw 20%, Sassuolo to win 16%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Como: T. Chalobah, A. Diao, M. Kean, M. Liberali, J. Rodriguez. Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.41); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.6%); after that come 2–0 (8.3%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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