Bet with MINO CASINO →Rennes meet Lille on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Roazhon Park (Rennes). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Rennes vs Lille: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rennes are 5th with 16 points after 9 matches (5W 1D 3L), whereas Lille are 2nd with 18 points (5W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Rennes have scored 2.2 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Lille average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rennes: 5W 1D 3L, goals 20–19; Lille: 5W 3D 1L, goals 12–6.
- Head to head. In their 34 meetings so far, Rennes have 9 wins, Lille have 12 wins and 13 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 39–43.
What to expect
Rennes should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 34; Rennes 9 wins, 13 draws, Lille 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rennes 20–19, Lille 12–6.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Rennes 0, Lille 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rennes are missing: no absences. Lille are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rennes vs Lille: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.21 | 3.90 | 3.28 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.64 | 3.16 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.26 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.69 | 1.63 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.29 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.52 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.42 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rennes 1–1 Lille, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rennes 5th (16 points), Lille 2nd (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Rennes 5W 1D 3L (20:19), Lille 5W 3D 1L (12:6).
- H2H: 34 matches: Rennes 9W 13D 12L, goals 39–43.
- Absences: Rennes 0, Lille 0.
Who will win Rennes vs Lille?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rennes vs Lille: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rennes vs Lille: who is missing
Rennes
- No reported absences
Lille
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rennes vs Lille: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rennes
Home and away
Rennes vs Lille: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RennesLWLWLLilleWDDWLRennes vs Lille: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rennes vs Lille: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rennes vs Lille?
Rennes -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Rennes vs Lille?
Our probabilities: Rennes to win 44%, a draw 26%, Lille to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Roazhon Park, Rennes.
Who will be missing?
Rennes: no absences. Lille: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.69); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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