Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rennes meet Strasbourg on 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Roazhon Park (Rennes), refereed by Ruddy Buquet. Rennes (54%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rennes are 5th with 16 points after 9 matches (5W 1D 3L), whereas Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Rennes have scored 2.1 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Strasbourg average 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rennes: 4W 1D 2L, goals 15–14; Strasbourg: 2W 1D 4L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Rennes have 11 wins, Strasbourg have 5 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 31–18.
What to expect
Rennes should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Rennes 11 wins, 2 draws, Strasbourg 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rennes 15–14, Strasbourg 12–15.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rennes are missing: E. Lepaul. Strasbourg are without: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.83 | 4.50 | 4.22 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 4.25 | 4.02 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 1.43 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.77 | 34.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.10 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rennes 2–1 Strasbourg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rennes 5th (16 points), Strasbourg 13th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rennes 4W 1D 2L (15:14), Strasbourg 2W 1D 4L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Rennes 11W 2D 5L, goals 31–18.
- Absences: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rennes vs Strasbourg: who is missing
Rennes
- E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
Strasbourg
- F. Baldeabsence · will miss the match
- I. Doukourenot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Nanasiinjury · will miss the match
- J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rennes
Home and away
Rennes vs Strasbourg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RennesLWLWLStrasbourgWLLLLRennes vs Strasbourg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rennes vs Strasbourg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Rennes to win (1.83).
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Our probabilities: Rennes to win 54%, a draw 23%, Strasbourg to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Roazhon Park, Rennes. Referee: Ruddy Buquet.
Who will be missing?
Rennes: E. Lepaul. Strasbourg: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.46); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.45).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.5%); after that come 1–1 (9.2%) and 2–0 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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