Bet with MINO CASINO →Auxerre meet Paris FC on 7 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre). Paris FC (53%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.50 | 4.11 | 1.87 |
| Market average | 4.19 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
| Lowest odds | 3.84 | 3.40 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 77.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.71 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.14 | 44.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.70 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Auxerre 1–1 Paris FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Auxerre 14th (10 points), Paris FC 4th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Auxerre 3W 1D 5L (13:23), Paris FC 5W 2D 2L (16:10).
- H2H: 15 matches: Auxerre 4W 6D 5L, goals 16–16.
- Absences: Auxerre 0, Paris FC 0.
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Auxerre vs Paris FC: who is missing
Auxerre
- No reported absences
Paris FC
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Auxerre
Home and away
Auxerre vs Paris FC: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Auxerre are 14th with 10 points after 9 matches (3W 1D 5L), whereas Paris FC are 4th with 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Auxerre have scored 1.4 and conceded 2.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Paris FC average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Auxerre: 3W 1D 5L, goals 13–23; Paris FC: 5W 2D 2L, goals 16–10.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Auxerre have 4 wins, Paris FC have 5 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 16–16.
What to expect
Paris FC should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Auxerre 4 wins, 6 draws, Paris FC 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Auxerre 13–23, Paris FC 16–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Auxerre 0, Paris FC 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Auxerre are missing: no absences. Paris FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AuxerreLDWLWParis FCWLWLWAuxerre vs Paris FC: head to head
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Auxerre vs Paris FC: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Our result tip is Paris FC to win (odds 1.87), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Paris FC (X2).
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Our probabilities: Auxerre to win 23%, a draw 25%, Paris FC to win 53%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre.
Who will be missing?
Auxerre: no absences. Paris FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.77); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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