Bet with MINO CASINO →Paris Saint Germain are at home to Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026 · 19:45 at Parc des Princes (Paris). Our favourites are Paris Saint Germain (83%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.16 | 10.61 | 18.50 |
| Market average | 1.14 | 8.77 | 15.76 |
| Lowest odds | 1.11 | 7.34 | 11.56 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.64 | 25.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 50.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.88 | 49.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points), Estac Troyes 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Paris Saint Germain 6W 2D 1L (21:10), Estac Troyes 2W 2D 5L (7:16).
- H2H: 10 matches: Paris Saint Germain 9W 1D 0L, goals 33–8.
- Absences: Paris Saint Germain 0, Estac Troyes 0.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: who is missing
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
Estac Troyes
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris Saint Germain
Home and away
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 20 points after 9 matches (6W 2D 1L), whereas Estac Troyes are 16th with 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Paris Saint Germain have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Estac Troyes average 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Paris Saint Germain: 6W 2D 1L, goals 21–10; Estac Troyes: 2W 2D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Paris Saint Germain have 9 wins, Estac Troyes have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–8.
What to expect
Paris Saint Germain should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 3–0 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.16, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Paris Saint Germain 9 wins, 1 draw, Estac Troyes 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Paris Saint Germain 21–10, Estac Troyes 7–16.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Absent: Paris Saint Germain 0, Estac Troyes 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.95). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Paris Saint Germain are missing: no absences. Estac Troyes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Paris Saint GermainWWWWWEstac TroyesWDLLLParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: head to head
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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Our result tip is Paris Saint Germain to win (odds 1.16), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.79). The safer pick is Paris Saint Germain or draw (1X).
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Our probabilities: Paris Saint Germain to win 83%, a draw 11%, Estac Troyes to win 6%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Parc des Princes, Paris.
Who will be missing?
Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Estac Troyes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 74% (odds 1.30); under 2.5 goals is at 26% (odds 3.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 3–0 (10.6%); after that come 2–0 (10.2%) and 4–0 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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