Bet with MINO CASINO →Toulouse v Strasbourg is on 6 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse). We think Toulouse (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Toulouse are 12th with 10 points after 9 matches (2W 4D 3L), whereas Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Toulouse have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Strasbourg average 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Toulouse: 2W 4D 3L, goals 12–13; Strasbourg: 3W 1D 5L, goals 17–19.
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Toulouse have 3 wins, Strasbourg have 7 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 16–22.
What to expect
Toulouse should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Toulouse 3 wins, 4 draws, Strasbourg 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Toulouse 12–13, Strasbourg 17–19.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Toulouse 0, Strasbourg 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Toulouse are missing: no absences. Strasbourg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.11 | 3.98 | 3.51 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.73 | 3.29 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.32 | 3.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.60 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.46 | 38.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.44 | 38.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Toulouse 12th (10 points), Strasbourg 13th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Toulouse 2W 4D 3L (12:13), Strasbourg 3W 1D 5L (17:19).
- H2H: 14 matches: Toulouse 3W 4D 7L, goals 16–22.
- Absences: Toulouse 0, Strasbourg 0.
Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: who is missing
Toulouse
- No reported absences
Strasbourg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Toulouse
Home and away
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ToulouseLDWDWStrasbourgWLLLLToulouse vs Strasbourg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Toulouse vs Strasbourg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Our result tip is Toulouse to win (odds 2.11), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Toulouse or draw (1X).
Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Our probabilities: Toulouse to win 46%, a draw 25%, Strasbourg to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.
Who will be missing?
Toulouse: no absences. Strasbourg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.