Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Paris FC meet Rennes on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean Bouin (Paris), refereed by B. Dechepy. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Paris FC vs Rennes: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.26 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.52 | 3.33 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.66 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.21 | 42.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.57 | 37.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 13:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Paris FC vs Rennes: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Paris FC vs Rennes: who is missing
Paris FC
- No reported absences
Rennes
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Rennes: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris FC
Home and away
Paris FC vs Rennes: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Paris FC are 4th with 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), whereas Rennes are 5th with 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
Paris FC should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Paris FC are missing: no absences. Rennes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Paris FC vs Rennes: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Paris FC vs Rennes?
Our result tip is Paris FC or draw (1X) (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Paris FC or draw (1X).
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
Our probabilities: Paris FC to win 44%, a draw 27%, Rennes to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris. Referee: B. Dechepy.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: no absences. Rennes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.73); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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