Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Nice meet Rennes on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Allianz Riviera (Nice), refereed by Eric Wattellier. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Nice vs Rennes: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Nice are 8th with 14 points after 9 matches (4W 2D 3L), whereas Rennes are 5th with 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Nice have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Rennes average 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Nice: 3W 2D 3L, goals 8–10; Rennes: 5W 1D 2L, goals 18–14.
- Head to head. In their 36 meetings so far, Nice have 18 wins, Rennes have 10 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 55–44.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 36; Nice 18 wins, 8 draws, Rennes 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Nice 8–10, Rennes 18–14.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Nice 5, Rennes 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or Rennes (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Rennes (X2) (probability 63%, best available odds 1.56). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Nice are missing: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Rennes are without: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Nice vs Rennes: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.77 | 3.70 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.59 | 3.57 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.46 | 3.31 | 2.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.60 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.32 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Nice 1–1 Rennes, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Nice 3W 2D 3L (8:10), Rennes 5W 1D 2L (18:14).
- H2H: 36 matches: Nice 18W 8D 10L, goals 55–44.
- Absences: Nice 5, Rennes 2.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Nice vs Rennes: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Nice vs Rennes: who is missing
Nice
- L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Seiduabsence · will miss the match
- A. Abdimuscle injury · doubtful
Rennes
- E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sambathigh injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Nice vs Rennes: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Nice
Home and away
Nice vs Rennes: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
NiceWWLWWRennesLWLWLNice vs Rennes: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Nice vs Rennes: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Nice vs Rennes?
Rennes +0 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
Our probabilities: Nice to win 37%, a draw 27%, Rennes to win 37%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Allianz Riviera, Nice. Referee: Eric Wattellier.
Who will be missing?
Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Rennes: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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