Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lille meet Stade Brestois 29 on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), refereed by C. Turpin. Lille (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lille are 2nd with 18 points after 9 matches (5W 3D 1L), whereas Stade Brestois 29 are 10th with 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
What to expect
Lille should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lille are missing: no absences. Stade Brestois 29 are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.08 | 3.78 | 3.72 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.62 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.72 | 34.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points).
- Absences: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: who is missing
Lille
- No reported absences
Stade Brestois 29
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
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Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our result tip is Lille to win (odds 2.08), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Lille or draw (1X).
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our probabilities: Lille to win 47%, a draw 26%, Stade Brestois 29 to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: C. Turpin.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Stade Brestois 29: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 1–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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