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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10 · 8 November 2026 · 16:15

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: tip, odds and prediction – 8 November 2026, Ligue 1

1Stade Brestois 293.04
XDraw3.80
2Lyon2.37

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:21

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Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon is on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Lyon (X2)
1.44
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.46
68%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.043.802.37
Market average2.893.552.29
Lowest odds2.753.212.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2177.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7355.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.232.1145.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.892.7534.3%
BTTS – yes1.621.5858.9%
BTTS – no2.302.2641.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lyon, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points), Lyon 3rd (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 3L (14:12), Lyon 5W 2D 2L (15:7).
  • H2H: 20 matches: Stade Brestois 29 3W 9D 8L, goals 24–31.
  • Absences: Stade Brestois 29 0, Lyon 0.

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?

Stade Brestois 2932%
Draw26%
Lyon41%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Draw or Lyon (X2)67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.46
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.23
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.30
Outsider
Lyon to win41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.37
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.3% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.89
Outsider
Stade Brestois 29 to win32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.04
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
1 : 28.9%
0 : 18.5%
2 : 17.8%
1 : 07.4%
0 : 26.6%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: who is missing

Stade Brestois 29

  • No reported absences

Lyon

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Stade Brestois 29

2 NovWLorient 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
23 OctLStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
10 OctWStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
20 SeptLAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Lyon

1 NovWLyon 2–0 Angers
26 OctLParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
22 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWLyon 2–1 Nice
15 OctWLyon 3–2 Crystal Palace

Home and away

Stade Brestois 29 at home4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 8–6
Lyon away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–4

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 are 10th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Lyon are 3rd with 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Stade Brestois 29 have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Lyon average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 3L, goals 14–12; Lyon: 5W 2D 2L, goals 15–7.
  4. Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, Stade Brestois 29 have 3 wins, Lyon have 8 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–31.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 20; Stade Brestois 29 3 wins, 9 draws, Lyon 8 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Stade Brestois 29 14–12, Lyon 15–7.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  5. Absent: Stade Brestois 29 0, Lyon 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Stade Brestois 29 are missing: no absences. Lyon are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: team stats compared

Stade Brestois 29Lyon
31%Form69%
47%Attack53%
42%Defence58%
29%Head to head71%
44%Goals56%
41.8%Overall58.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Stade Brestois 29WLDWL
LyonWLWLW

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: head to head

All matches
3Stade Brestois 29
9Draws
8Lyon
18/1/26 · Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
2/11/25 · Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Lyon
2/3/25 · Lyon 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
11/1/25 · Stade Brestois 29 2–1 Lyon
14/4/24 · Lyon 4–3 Stade Brestois 29
23/9/23 · Stade Brestois 29 1–0 Lyon

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?

Our result tip is Draw or Lyon (X2) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Draw or Lyon (X2).

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?

Our probabilities: Stade Brestois 29 to win 32%, a draw 26%, Lyon to win 41%.

What time and where is kick-off?

8 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest.

Who will be missing?

Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Lyon: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.23).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 1–2 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.