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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 17:45

Lille vs Galatasaray: tip, odds and prediction – 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

2–4
1Lille2.59
XDraw3.60
2Galatasaray2.99

Best available odds · Updated 21/10/26, 16:39

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lille meet Galatasaray on 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), refereed by Rade Obrenović. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Lille vs Galatasaray: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Lille or draw (1X)
1.47
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
66%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Lille vs Galatasaray: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.593.602.99
Market average2.493.502.80
Lowest odds2.213.402.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2178.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.7056.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.1943.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6535.7%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.8%
BTTS – no2.502.3839.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 16:39. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lille 1–1 Galatasaray, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lille 35th (0 points), Galatasaray 23rd (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Lille 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.

Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Lille38%
Draw27%
Galatasaray34%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Lille vs Galatasaray: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Lille or draw (1X)65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.3% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.51
Likely
Both sides to score: yes60.8% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.31
Outsider
Both sides to score: no39.2% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.50
Outsider
Lille to win38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.59
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.7% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.80
Outsider
Galatasaray to win34.2% · fair odds 2.93 · best 2.99
Outsider
Draw27.4% · fair odds 3.65 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.5%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.00 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 08.3%
1 : 28.1%
0 : 17.7%
2 : 06.2%

Lille vs Galatasaray: who is missing

Lille

  • No reported absences

Galatasaray

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Lille vs Galatasaray: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Lille

30 OctWLille 1–0 Lens
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
21 OctLLille 2–4 Galatasaray
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 OctLArsenal 3–0 Lille

Galatasaray

21 OctWLille 2–4 Galatasaray
13 OctLGalatasaray 1–4 Barcelona
9 SeptLSporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray

Home and away

Lille at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 4–7
Galatasaray away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 5–5

Lille vs Galatasaray: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Lille are 35th with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas Galatasaray are 23rd with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Lille have 0 wins, Galatasaray have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–4.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Lille 0 wins, 0 draws, Galatasaray 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
  4. Absent: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Lille are missing: no absences. Galatasaray are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Lille vs Galatasaray: head to head

All matches
0Lille
0Draws
1Galatasaray
21/10/26 · Lille 2–4 Galatasaray

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Lille vs Galatasaray: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Lille vs Galatasaray?

Our result tip is Lille or draw (1X) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Lille or draw (1X).

Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Our probabilities: Lille to win 38%, a draw 27%, Galatasaray to win 34%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: Rade Obrenović.

Who will be missing?

Lille: no absences. Galatasaray: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–0 (8.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.