Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lille meet Galatasaray on 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), refereed by Rade Obrenović. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Lille vs Galatasaray: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.59 | 3.60 | 2.99 |
| Market average | 2.49 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.19 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.65 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.38 | 39.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 16:39. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Galatasaray, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 35th (0 points), Galatasaray 23rd (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lille 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
- Absences: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lille vs Galatasaray: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lille vs Galatasaray: who is missing
Lille
- No reported absences
Galatasaray
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lille vs Galatasaray: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lille
Home and away
Lille vs Galatasaray: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lille are 35th with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas Galatasaray are 23rd with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Lille have 0 wins, Galatasaray have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–4.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Lille 0 wins, 0 draws, Galatasaray 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lille are missing: no absences. Galatasaray are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lille vs Galatasaray: head to head
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Lille vs Galatasaray: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our result tip is Lille or draw (1X) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Lille or draw (1X).
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our probabilities: Lille to win 38%, a draw 27%, Galatasaray to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: Rade Obrenović.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Galatasaray: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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