Bet with MINO CASINO →Monza v Atalanta is on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at U-Power Stadium (Monza). We think Atalanta (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Monza vs Atalanta: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.44 | 4.01 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.27 | 3.72 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 2.95 | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.57 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.41 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monza 1–1 Atalanta, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monza 18th (7 points), Atalanta 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Monza 2W 1D 7L (17:24), Atalanta 3W 2D 5L (16:20).
- H2H: 6 matches: Monza 0W 0D 6L, goals 3–18.
- Absences: Monza 0, Atalanta 1.
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Monza vs Atalanta: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Monza vs Atalanta: who is missing
Monza
- No reported absences
Atalanta
- I. Hienabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Monza vs Atalanta: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Monza
Home and away
Monza vs Atalanta: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Monza are 18th with 7 points after 10 matches (2W 1D 7L), whereas Atalanta are 13th with 11 points (3W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Monza have scored 1.7 and conceded 2.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Atalanta average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Monza: 2W 1D 7L, goals 17–24; Atalanta: 3W 2D 5L, goals 16–20.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Monza have 0 wins, Atalanta have 6 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–18.
What to expect
Atalanta should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Monza 0 wins, 0 draws, Atalanta 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Monza 17–24, Atalanta 16–20.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Monza 0, Atalanta 1.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Monza are missing: no absences. Atalanta are without: I. Hien. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Monza vs Atalanta: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MonzaLLLWLAtalantaLDDLWMonza vs Atalanta: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Monza vs Atalanta: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Monza vs Atalanta?
Our result tip is Atalanta to win (odds 2.10), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Draw or Atalanta (X2).
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
Our probabilities: Monza to win 29%, a draw 25%, Atalanta to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at U-Power Stadium, Monza.
Who will be missing?
Monza: no absences. Atalanta: I. Hien. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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