Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Monza v Cagliari is on 19 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stadio Brianteo (Monza); Andrea Calzavara, Italy takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Monza vs Cagliari: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Monza are 18th with 7 points after 10 matches (2W 1D 7L), whereas Cagliari are 12th with 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Cagliari are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Monza 0, Cagliari 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Monza are missing: no absences. Cagliari are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Monza vs Cagliari: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.74 | 3.24 | 3.06 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.14 | 2.91 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.77 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.06 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.77 | 53.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.60 | 26.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 1.98 | 47.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 19/10/26, 16:28. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monza 1–1 Cagliari, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Monza 18th (7 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Absences: Monza 0, Cagliari 0.
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Monza vs Cagliari: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Monza vs Cagliari: who is missing
Monza
- No reported absences
Cagliari
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Monza vs Cagliari: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
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Monza vs Cagliari: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza +0 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 2.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
Our probabilities: Monza to win 38%, a draw 30%, Cagliari to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
19 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Stadio Brianteo, Monza. Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Monza: no absences. Cagliari: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.18); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 1–0 (10.7%) and 0–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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