Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Torino are at home to Monza on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Turin), with Andrea Zanotti, Italy as the referee. Our favourites are Torino (45%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Torino vs Monza: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Torino are 10th with 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), whereas Monza are 18th with 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Torino have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Monza average 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Torino: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–9; Monza: 2W 1D 4L, goals 13–15.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Torino have 5 wins, Monza have 1 win and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 15–8.
What to expect
Torino should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Torino 5 wins, 3 draws, Monza 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Torino 10–9, Monza 13–15.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Torino are missing: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza are without: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Torino vs Monza: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.00 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Torino 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Monza 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Torino 3W 1D 3L (10:9), Monza 2W 1D 4L (13:15).
- H2H: 9 matches: Torino 5W 3D 1L, goals 15–8.
- Absences: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Torino vs Monza: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Torino vs Monza: who is missing
Torino
- N. Fortinithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Ilkhanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Israelshoulder injury · will miss the match
- R. Rodriguezthigh injury · will miss the match
Monza
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Torino vs Monza: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Torino
Home and away
Torino vs Monza: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
TorinoLLWWWMonzaLLLWLTorino vs Monza: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Torino vs Monza: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Torino vs Monza?
Over 2.5 goals (1.91); Torino to win (2.16).
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
Our probabilities: Torino to win 45%, a draw 28%, Monza to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.91); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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