Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bologna are at home to Monza on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna), with Andrea Zanotti as the referee. Our favourites are Bologna (56%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Bologna vs Monza: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.75 | 4.01 | 5.20 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.82 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.41 | 4.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.82 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.95 | 31.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 12:56. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bologna 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bologna 9th (14 points), Monza 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Bologna 3W 2D 4L (12:12), Monza 2W 1D 6L (16:22).
- H2H: 8 matches: Bologna 5W 2D 1L, goals 13–5.
- Absences: Bologna 4, Monza 4.
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bologna vs Monza: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bologna vs Monza: who is missing
Bologna
- L. De Silvestrimuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. EnemAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
Monza
- M. Folorunshoabsence · will miss the match
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bologna vs Monza: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Bologna
Home and away
Bologna vs Monza: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bologna are 9th with 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), whereas Monza are 18th with 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Bologna have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Monza average 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bologna: 3W 2D 4L, goals 12–12; Monza: 2W 1D 6L, goals 16–22.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Bologna have 5 wins, Monza have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–5.
What to expect
Bologna should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Bologna 5 wins, 2 draws, Monza 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bologna 12–12, Monza 16–22.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Bologna 4, Monza 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bologna are missing: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem, E. Holm, R. Piccoli. Monza are without: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bologna vs Monza: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BolognaWWWLWMonzaLLLWLBologna vs Monza: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bologna vs Monza: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bologna vs Monza?
Our result tip is Bologna to win (odds 1.75), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Bologna or draw (1X).
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
Our probabilities: Bologna to win 56%, a draw 25%, Monza to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Referee: Andrea Zanotti.
Who will be missing?
Bologna: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem, E. Holm, R. Piccoli. Monza: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.90); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.