Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Monaco meet SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Monaco), refereed by S. Barrott. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Monaco are 6th with 6 points after 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), whereas SC Freiburg are 18th with 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
What to expect
Monaco should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Monaco are missing: no absences. SC Freiburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.26 | 3.75 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.20 | 3.61 | 3.04 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.33 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.62 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monaco 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 6th (6 points), SC Freiburg 18th (3 points).
- Absences: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: who is missing
Monaco
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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Monaco vs SC Freiburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Our result tip is Monaco or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Monaco or draw (1X).
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Our probabilities: Monaco to win 43%, a draw 26%, SC Freiburg to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stade Louis II, Monaco. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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