Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lorient v Monaco is on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient); M. Bollengier takes charge. We think Monaco (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Lorient vs Monaco: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.82 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Market average | 3.64 | 3.43 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 51.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.43 | 3.31 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 13:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Monaco, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 11th (12 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Absences: Lorient 0, Monaco 0.
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lorient vs Monaco: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Lorient vs Monaco: who is missing
Lorient
- No reported absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lorient vs Monaco: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
Home and away
Lorient vs Monaco: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lorient are 11th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Monaco are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
What to expect
Monaco should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Lorient 0, Monaco 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lorient are missing: no absences. Monaco are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Lorient vs Monaco: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lorient vs Monaco?
Our result tip is Monaco to win (odds 2.15), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or Monaco (X2).
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
Our probabilities: Lorient to win 26%, a draw 28%, Monaco to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: M. Bollengier.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: no absences. Monaco: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.05); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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