Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Paris FC are at home to Monaco on 1 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean-Bouin (Paris), with Jeremy Stinat as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Paris FC vs Monaco: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.57 | 3.70 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.49 | 3.52 | 2.74 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.21 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.08 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.25 | 41.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Monaco, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Paris FC 4W 2D 2L (13:9), Monaco 4W 3D 1L (11:7).
- H2H: 2 matches: Paris FC 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Paris FC vs Monaco: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Paris FC vs Monaco: who is missing
Paris FC
- L. Koleoshomuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Sanguimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Camarahamstring injury · doubtful
- S. Cherguiknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ikonethigh injury · doubtful
- K. Trappillness · doubtful
Monaco
- A. Fatihamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Idumbogroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Salisuabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Monaco: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris FC
Home and away
Paris FC vs Monaco: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Paris FC are 4th with 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), whereas Monaco are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Paris FC have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Monaco average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Paris FC: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–9; Monaco: 4W 3D 1L, goals 11–7.
- Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Paris FC have 2 wins, Monaco have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–1.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 67%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 2; Paris FC 2 wins, 0 draws, Monaco 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Paris FC 13–9, Monaco 11–7.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Paris FC are missing: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Monaco are without: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Monaco: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Paris FCWLWLWMonacoLDLDWParis FC vs Monaco: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Paris FC vs Monaco: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Paris FC vs Monaco?
Our result tip is Paris FC or draw (1X) (odds 1.49), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Paris FC or draw (1X).
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
Our probabilities: Paris FC to win 38%, a draw 27%, Monaco to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris. Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Monaco: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.