Bet with MINO CASINO →Atalanta are at home to Kairat Almaty on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo). Our favourites are Atalanta (80%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.19 | 8.40 | 16.50 |
| Market average | 1.16 | 7.30 | 14.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 6.18 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.98 | 2.90 | 32.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 1.99 | 46.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.76 | 1.74 | 53.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 2–0 Kairat Almaty, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 15th (3 points), Kairat Almaty 31st (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Atalanta 2W 1D 1L (4:3), Kairat Almaty 0W 1D 1L (2:6).
- Absences: Atalanta 0, Kairat Almaty 0.
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: who is missing
Atalanta
- No reported absences
Kairat Almaty
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Atalanta
Home and away
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Atalanta are 15th with 3 points after 2 matches (1W 0D 1L), whereas Kairat Almaty are 31st with 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Atalanta have scored 1.0 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Kairat Almaty average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atalanta: 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–3; Kairat Almaty: 0W 1D 1L, goals 2–6.
What to expect
Atalanta should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.19, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: No to both teams scoring (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Atalanta 4–3, Kairat Almaty 2–6.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: Atalanta 0, Kairat Almaty 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.76). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Atalanta are missing: no absences. Kairat Almaty are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AtalantaLWKairat AlmatyLDReturns calculator
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Our result tip is Atalanta to win (odds 1.19), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.76). The safer pick is Atalanta or draw (1X).
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Our probabilities: Atalanta to win 80%, a draw 13%, Kairat Almaty to win 7%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: no absences. Kairat Almaty: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.42); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 2.98).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.05).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.8%); after that come 3–0 (11.0%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.