Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen are at home to SC Freiburg on 18 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen), with Florian Badstübner, Germany as the referee. Our favourites are Bayer Leverkusen (59%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.64 | 4.67 | 5.17 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 4.49 | 4.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.43 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.84 | 2.71 | 34.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: who is missing
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), whereas SC Freiburg are 3rd with 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
What to expect
Bayer Leverkusen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bayer Leverkusen are missing: no absences. SC Freiburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Our result tip is Bayer Leverkusen to win (odds 1.64), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Our probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen to win 59%, a draw 21%, SC Freiburg to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Florian Badstübner, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.45); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.84).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 1–1 (9.1%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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