Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Augsburg meet SC Freiburg on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), refereed by Christian Dingert. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Augsburg are 10th with 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), whereas SC Freiburg are 3rd with 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. FC Augsburg have scored 2.4 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; SC Freiburg average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 3D 2L, goals 17–13; SC Freiburg: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. In their 30 meetings so far, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, SC Freiburg have 14 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–53.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 30; FC Augsburg 7 wins, 9 draws, SC Freiburg 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Augsburg 17–13, SC Freiburg 16–9.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2) (probability 66%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Augsburg are missing: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. SC Freiburg are without: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.90 | 3.96 | 2.45 |
| Market average | 2.77 | 3.69 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.12 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.37 | 40.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 3D 2L (17:13), SC Freiburg 4W 1D 2L (16:9).
- H2H: 30 matches: FC Augsburg 7W 9D 14L, goals 38–53.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: who is missing
FC Augsburg
- J. Bahred card · will miss the match
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Brackelmannconcussion · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
SC Freiburg
- P. Treuankle injury · doubtful
- B. Yilmazabsence · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC AugsburgLDLDLSC FreiburgWLLWDFC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
FC Augsburg +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
Our probabilities: FC Augsburg to win 34%, a draw 26%, SC Freiburg to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: Christian Dingert.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. SC Freiburg: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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