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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Lincoln Red Imps FC11.00
XDraw5.40
2HNK Hajduk Split1.38

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:30

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Lincoln Red Imps FC are at home to HNK Hajduk Split on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Europa Point Stadium. Our favourites are HNK Hajduk Split (70%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: tip and prediction
Result
HNK Hajduk Split to win
1.38
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
HNK Hajduk Split plus over 2.5 goals
2.22
45% · combo fair price
70%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) – 89% probability, top odds 1.09.

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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Lincoln Red Imps FC are 33rd with 0 points after 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), whereas HNK Hajduk Split are 8th with 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Lincoln Red Imps FC have scored 1.3 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; HNK Hajduk Split average 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–8; HNK Hajduk Split: 5W 1D 0L, goals 17–7.

What to expect

HNK Hajduk Split should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 5–8, HNK Hajduk Split 17–7.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  3. Absent: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.77). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Lincoln Red Imps FC are missing: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds11.005.401.38
Market average8.754.891.33
Lowest odds6.664.431.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2177.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.771.7155.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.1144.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.842.7334.2%
BTTS – yes2.102.0545.4%
BTTS – no1.731.7054.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lincoln Red Imps FC 33rd (0 points), HNK Hajduk Split 8th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 0D 3L (5:8), HNK Hajduk Split 5W 1D 0L (17:7).
  • Absences: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Lincoln Red Imps FC11%
Draw19%
HNK Hajduk Split70%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: more markets and betting tips

Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2)89.2% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.0% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.24
Likely
HNK Hajduk Split to win70.1% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Over 2.5 goals55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.77
Possible
Both sides to score: no54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Both sides to score: yes45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.8% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.2% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.84
Outsider
Draw19.1% · fair odds 5.23 · best 5.40
Outsider
Lincoln Red Imps FC to win10.8% · fair odds 9.26 · best 11.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 212.7%
0 : 111.8%
1 : 29.5%
0 : 39.1%
1 : 18.9%
1 : 36.8%

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: who is missing

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • No reported absences

HNK Hajduk Split

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Lincoln Red Imps FC

22 OctLLincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 Twente
15 OctLBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
27 AugWLarne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps FC
20 AugLLincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne

HNK Hajduk Split

22 OctWFC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
15 OctWHNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax
27 AugWRaków Częstochowa 2–3 HNK Hajduk Split
20 AugDHNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Raków Częstochowa
13 AugWHNK Hajduk Split 4–0 FK Žalgiris Vilnius

Home and away

Lincoln Red Imps FC at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4
HNK Hajduk Split away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: team stats compared

Lincoln Red Imps FCHNK Hajduk Split
19%Form81%
29%Attack71%
38%Defence62%
22.8%Overall77.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Lincoln Red Imps FCLL
HNK Hajduk SplitWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our result tip is HNK Hajduk Split to win (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2).

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our probabilities: Lincoln Red Imps FC to win 11%, a draw 19%, HNK Hajduk Split to win 70%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Europa Point Stadium.

Who will be missing?

Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.77); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 45% probability (odds 2.10).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–2 (12.7%); after that come 0–1 (11.8%) and 1–2 (9.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovTrabzonspor vs SC Freiburg 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.