Aarhus are at home to SC Braga on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Cepheus Park (Randers). Our favourites are SC Braga (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Aarhus vs SC Braga: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aarhus are 26th with 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), whereas SC Braga are 16th with 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Aarhus have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; SC Braga average 1.3 scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aarhus: 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–2; SC Braga: 5W 2D 1L, goals 10–3.
What to expect
SC Braga should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Aarhus 1–2, SC Braga 10–3.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Aarhus 0, SC Braga 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aarhus are missing: no absences. SC Braga are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aarhus vs SC Braga: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.91 | 3.50 | 2.09 |
| Market average | 3.64 | 3.34 | 2.02 |
| Lowest odds | 3.13 | 2.99 | 1.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.30 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.98 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.37 | 27.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 52.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 48.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aarhus 1–1 SC Braga, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aarhus 26th (1 point), SC Braga 16th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Aarhus 0W 1D 1L (1:2), SC Braga 5W 2D 1L (10:3).
- Absences: Aarhus 0, SC Braga 0.
Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aarhus vs SC Braga: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aarhus vs SC Braga: who is missing
Aarhus
- No reported absences
SC Braga
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aarhus vs SC Braga: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Aarhus
Home and away
Aarhus vs SC Braga: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Aarhus vs SC Braga: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Aarhus or draw (1X) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.85).
Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Our probabilities: Aarhus to win 26%, a draw 28%, SC Braga to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Cepheus Park, Randers.
Who will be missing?
Aarhus: no absences. SC Braga: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.02); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 0–1 (11.7%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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