Bet with MINO CASINO →Monaco meet Auxerre on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Louis II (Monaco). Monaco (67%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Monaco vs Auxerre: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Monaco are 7th with 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L), whereas Auxerre are 14th with 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
What to expect
Monaco should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Monaco are missing: no absences. Auxerre are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Monaco vs Auxerre: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.44 | 5.44 | 7.30 |
| Market average | 1.41 | 5.03 | 7.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.38 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.44 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.74 | 34.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monaco 2–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 7th (15 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
- Absences: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.
Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Monaco vs Auxerre: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Monaco vs Auxerre: who is missing
Monaco
- No reported absences
Auxerre
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Monaco vs Auxerre: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
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Monaco vs Auxerre: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Monaco vs Auxerre?
Monaco -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?
Our probabilities: Monaco to win 67%, a draw 19%, Auxerre to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.77).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 2–0 (9.7%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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