Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Strasbourg v Auxerre is on 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg); Guillaume Paradis takes charge. We think Strasbourg (52%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.88 | 4.16 | 4.16 |
| Market average | 1.85 | 3.91 | 3.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 40.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.41 | 39.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.37 | 39.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Strasbourg 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Strasbourg 13th (10 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Strasbourg 2W 1D 5L (12:18), Auxerre 3W 1D 4L (12:18).
- H2H: 10 matches: Strasbourg 6W 1D 3L, goals 13–6.
- Absences: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: who is missing
Strasbourg
- J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Amo-Ameyawnot in the squad · doubtful
- F. Baldeabsence · doubtful
Auxerre
- A. Diousseknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Fofanagroin injury · will miss the match
- R. Labeau Lascaryinjury · will miss the match
- B. Okohknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Strasbourg
Home and away
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points after 9 matches (3W 1D 5L), whereas Auxerre are 14th with 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Strasbourg have scored 1.5 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Auxerre average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Strasbourg: 2W 1D 5L, goals 12–18; Auxerre: 3W 1D 4L, goals 12–18.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Strasbourg have 6 wins, Auxerre have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–6.
What to expect
Strasbourg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.59), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Strasbourg 6 wins, 1 draw, Auxerre 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Strasbourg 12–18, Auxerre 12–18.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Strasbourg are missing: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Auxerre are without: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
StrasbourgWLLLLAuxerreLDWLWStrasbourg vs Auxerre: head to head
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Strasbourg vs Auxerre: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Our result tip is Strasbourg to win (odds 1.88), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.59). The safer pick is Strasbourg or draw (1X).
Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Our probabilities: Strasbourg to win 52%, a draw 24%, Auxerre to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Guillaume Paradis.
Who will be missing?
Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.5%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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