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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 16:15

Le Havre vs Auxerre: tip, odds and prediction – 18 October 2026, Ligue 1

1–3
LDWLW
1Le Havre2.34
XDraw3.60
2Auxerre3.22

Best available odds · Updated 18/10/26, 13:01

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Le Havre v Auxerre is on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Océane (Le Havre); E. Wattellier takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Le Havre vs Auxerre: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Le Havre or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
69%chance of the result
58%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Le Havre vs Auxerre: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.343.603.22
Market average2.283.483.13
Lowest odds2.253.303.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2276.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7754.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.0845.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.202.8333.2%
BTTS – yes1.671.6157.9%
BTTS – no2.282.2242.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 13:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
  • Absences: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.

Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Le Havre42%
Draw27%
Auxerre31%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Le Havre vs Auxerre: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Le Havre or draw (1X)69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both sides to score: no42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.28
Outsider
Le Havre to win41.9% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.2% · fair odds 3.01 · best 3.20
Outsider
Auxerre to win30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.22
Outsider
Draw27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.70 · Under 2.05
probability of over 54.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.72 · Under 2.07
probability of over 54.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Le Havre vs Auxerre: who is missing

Le Havre

  • No reported absences

Auxerre

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Le Havre vs Auxerre: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Le Havre

30 OctLLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
25 OctLMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
18 OctLLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
10 OctLLille 1–0 Le Havre
19 SeptLToulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Home and away

Le Havre at home5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–11
Auxerre away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–18

Le Havre vs Auxerre: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Le Havre are 18th with 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L), whereas Auxerre are 14th with 10 points (3W 1D 5L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the Auxerre are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
  2. Absent: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Le Havre are missing: no absences. Auxerre are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Le Havre vs Auxerre: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Our result tip is Le Havre or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Le Havre or draw (1X).

Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Our probabilities: Le Havre to win 42%, a draw 27%, Auxerre to win 31%.

What time and where is kick-off?

18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: E. Wattellier.

Who will be missing?

Le Havre: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.