Bet with MINO CASINO →Le Mans v Monaco is on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans). We think Monaco (54%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Le Mans vs Monaco: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.41 | 4.31 | 1.80 |
| Market average | 4.18 | 3.99 | 1.75 |
| Lowest odds | 3.81 | 3.53 | 1.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.35 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.41 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.56 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Mans 1–1 Monaco, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Mans 17th (7 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Mans 1W 4D 4L (11:18), Monaco 4W 3D 2L (12:10).
- H2H: 4 matches: Le Mans 0W 1D 3L, goals 5–8.
- Absences: Le Mans 0, Monaco 0.
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Le Mans vs Monaco: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Le Mans vs Monaco: who is missing
Le Mans
- No reported absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Le Mans vs Monaco: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Mans
Home and away
Le Mans vs Monaco: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Le Mans are 17th with 7 points after 9 matches (1W 4D 4L), whereas Monaco are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Le Mans have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Monaco average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Mans: 1W 4D 4L, goals 11–18; Monaco: 4W 3D 2L, goals 12–10.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Le Mans have 0 wins, Monaco have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–8.
What to expect
Monaco should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Le Mans 0 wins, 1 draw, Monaco 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Le Mans 11–18, Monaco 12–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Le Mans 0, Monaco 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Le Mans are missing: no absences. Monaco are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Le Mans vs Monaco: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Le MansLDLLWMonacoLDLDWLe Mans vs Monaco: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Le Mans vs Monaco: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Le Mans vs Monaco?
Our result tip is Monaco to win (odds 1.80), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Draw or Monaco (X2).
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
Our probabilities: Le Mans to win 23%, a draw 24%, Monaco to win 54%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans.
Who will be missing?
Le Mans: no absences. Monaco: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.3%); after that come 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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