Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Estac Troyes meet Le Mans on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), refereed by Azzedine Souifi. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Estac Troyes are 16th with 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), whereas Le Mans are 17th with 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Estac Troyes have scored 0.6 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Le Mans average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Estac Troyes: 1W 2D 5L, goals 5–16; Le Mans: 1W 4D 3L, goals 11–16.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Estac Troyes have 3 wins, Le Mans have 3 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–9.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Estac Troyes 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Estac Troyes 5–16, Le Mans 11–16.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Estac Troyes are missing: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans are without: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.34 | 3.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.08 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.89 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.25 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 17:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Estac Troyes 1W 2D 5L (5:16), Le Mans 1W 4D 3L (11:16).
- H2H: 8 matches: Estac Troyes 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: who is missing
Estac Troyes
- Y. Koneknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouzenadjiknee injury · will miss the match
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
- D. Sidibefoot injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Estac TroyesWDLLLLe MansLDLLWEstac Troyes vs Le Mans: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our result tip is Estac Troyes or draw (1X) (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Estac Troyes or draw (1X).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our probabilities: Estac Troyes to win 43%, a draw 28%, Le Mans to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: Azzedine Souifi.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.00); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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