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Serie A · Matchweek 12 · 21 November 2026 · 14:00

Lazio vs Lecce: tip, odds and prediction – 21 November 2026, Serie A

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VS
LLLWL
1Lazio1.40
XDraw5.45
2Lecce8.50

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:10

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Lazio are at home to Lecce on 21 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome). Our favourites are Lazio (69%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Lazio vs Lecce: tip and prediction
Result
Lazio to win
1.40
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.60
Combo
Lazio plus over 2.5 goals
2.10
48% · combo fair price
69%chance of the result
60%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Lazio or draw (1X) – 88% probability, top odds 1.11.

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Lazio vs Lecce: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.405.458.50
Market average1.385.037.96
Lowest odds1.364.757.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1780.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6060.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.482.4239.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.432.3939.5%
BTTS – yes1.831.8151.5%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lazio 2–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
  • Absences: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.

Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?

Lazio69%
Draw19%
Lecce12%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Lazio vs Lecce: more markets and betting tips

Lazio or draw (1X)88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.19
Likely
Lazio to win69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.5% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.3% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.63
Likely
Both sides to score: yes51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.7% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.48
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.43
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.28 · best 5.45
Outsider
Lecce to win12.0% · fair odds 8.36 · best 8.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.4%
1 : 010.1%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 08.6%
3 : 17.3%

Lazio vs Lecce: who is missing

Lazio

  • No reported absences

Lecce

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Lazio vs Lecce: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Lazio

1 NovWLazio 2–1 Cagliari
27 OctWSassuolo 2–6 Lazio
24 OctWLazio 2–1 Parma
18 OctWJuventus 0–3 Lazio
11 OctWLazio 3–1 Monza

Lecce

1 NovLLecce 1–2 Genoa
29 OctLFrosinone 5–1 Lecce
25 OctLLecce 0–2 Juventus
18 OctWUdinese 0–3 Lecce
11 OctLLecce 1–2 Bologna

Home and away

Lazio at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 10–5
Lecce away5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 6–9

Lazio vs Lecce: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Lazio are 1st with 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L), whereas Lecce are 14th with 9 points (3W 0D 7L).

What to expect

Lazio should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
  2. Absent: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Lazio are missing: no absences. Lecce are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Lazio vs Lecce: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Lazio vs Lecce?

Our result tip is Lazio to win (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60). The safer pick is Lazio or draw (1X).

Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?

Our probabilities: Lazio to win 69%, a draw 19%, Lecce to win 12%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Who will be missing?

Lazio: no absences. Lecce: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.48).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.83).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.4%); after that come 1–0 (10.1%) and 2–1 (9.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.