Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Frosinone v Lecce is on 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at PSC Arena (Frosinone); Rosario Abisso takes charge. We think Frosinone (57%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Frosinone vs Lecce: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.75 | 4.42 | 4.82 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.27 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.08 | 30.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.88 | 32.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 16:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Frosinone 2–1 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Frosinone 4W 2D 2L (17:13), Lecce 3W 0D 5L (9:14).
- H2H: 7 matches: Frosinone 1W 3D 3L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Frosinone vs Lecce: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Frosinone vs Lecce: who is missing
Frosinone
- F. Grillitschthigh injury · will miss the match
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Gasparred card · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Lecce: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Frosinone vs Lecce: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Frosinone are 6th with 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L), whereas Lecce are 14th with 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Frosinone have scored 2.1 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Lecce average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Frosinone: 4W 2D 2L, goals 17–13; Lecce: 3W 0D 5L, goals 9–14.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Frosinone have 1 win, Lecce have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–10.
What to expect
Frosinone should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.96), and our probability for it is 50%. We estimate both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Frosinone 1 win, 3 draws, Lecce 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Frosinone 17–13, Lecce 9–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best available odds 1.99). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Frosinone are missing: F. Grillitsch. Lecce are without: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Lecce: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FrosinoneWWDWLLecceLLLWLFrosinone vs Lecce: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Frosinone vs Lecce: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Frosinone vs Lecce?
Our result tip is Frosinone to win (odds 1.75), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.96). The safer pick is Frosinone or draw (1X).
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
Our probabilities: Frosinone to win 57%, a draw 22%, Lecce to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Rosario Abisso.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.38); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 68% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.4%); after that come 1–1 (8.5%) and 2–0 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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