Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese v Lecce is on 18 October 2026 · 11:30 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine); Marco Guida, Italy takes charge. We think Udinese (52%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Udinese vs Lecce: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Udinese are 19th with 5 points after 10 matches (1W 2D 7L), whereas Lecce are 14th with 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
What to expect
Udinese should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Lecce are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 50%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Udinese are missing: no absences. Lecce are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Udinese vs Lecce: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.86 | 3.68 | 4.84 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.81 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.55 | 26.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 09:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Udinese 1–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 19th (5 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Udinese vs Lecce: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Udinese vs Lecce: who is missing
Udinese
- No reported absences
Lecce
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Udinese vs Lecce: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Udinese vs Lecce: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Udinese vs Lecce?
Under 2.5 goals (1.87); Udinese to win (1.86).
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
Our probabilities: Udinese to win 52%, a draw 27%, Lecce to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 11:30, at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Marco Guida, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: no absences. Lecce: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.08); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.5%); after that come 1–1 (11.9%) and 2–0 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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