Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lazio meet Parma on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), refereed by Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy. Lazio (66%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Lazio vs Parma: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.49 | 4.60 | 8.57 |
| Market average | 1.44 | 4.46 | 7.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.18 | 29.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.08 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lazio 1–0 Parma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Parma 15th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Lazio 6W 1D 0L (14:4), Parma 1W 1D 5L (4:13).
- H2H: 22 matches: Lazio 15W 5D 2L, goals 38–18.
- Absences: Lazio 4, Parma 4.
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lazio vs Parma: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lazio vs Parma: who is missing
Lazio
- A. Furlanettoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Gudmundssonshoulder injury · will miss the match
- A. Marusicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Rovellacalf injury · will miss the match
Parma
- P. Almqvistcalf injury · will miss the match
- N. Elphegeillness · will miss the match
- H. Nicolussi Cavigliathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lazio vs Parma: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lazio
Home and away
Lazio vs Parma: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lazio are 1st with 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L), whereas Parma are 15th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Lazio have scored 2.0 and conceded 0.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Parma average 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lazio: 6W 1D 0L, goals 14–4; Parma: 1W 1D 5L, goals 4–13.
- Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Lazio have 15 wins, Parma have 2 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–18.
What to expect
Lazio should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (13.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 22; Lazio 15 wins, 5 draws, Parma 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Lazio 14–4, Parma 4–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Lazio 4, Parma 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lazio are missing: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella. Parma are without: P. Almqvist, N. Elphege, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, L. Valenti. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lazio vs Parma: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LazioWWWWWParmaWDLLLLazio vs Parma: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lazio vs Parma: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lazio vs Parma?
Our result tip is Lazio to win (odds 1.49), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Lazio or draw (1X).
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
Our probabilities: Lazio to win 66%, a draw 21%, Parma to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella. Parma: P. Almqvist, N. Elphege, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, L. Valenti. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.94); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.08).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (13.1%); after that come 2–0 (12.8%) and 1–1 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.