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Serie A · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 14:00

Fiorentina vs Como: tip, odds and prediction – 18 October 2026, Serie A

1–3
WWWWD
1Fiorentina3.29
XDraw3.70
2Como2.33

Best available odds · Updated 18/10/26, 12:54

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Fiorentina v Como is on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence); Marco Di Bello, Italy takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Fiorentina vs Como: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Como (X2)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
69%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Fiorentina vs Como: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.293.702.33
Market average3.083.552.25
Lowest odds2.803.482.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.6258.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.352.2841.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.542.4438.5%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.8%
BTTS – no2.542.4438.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Fiorentina 16th (8 points), Como 4th (23 points).
  • Absences: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?

Fiorentina31%
Draw27%
Como42%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Fiorentina vs Como: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Como (X2)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Both sides to score: yes61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
Como to win42.3% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.33
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.5% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.35
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.54
Outsider
Both sides to score: no38.2% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.54
Outsider
Fiorentina to win30.9% · fair odds 3.23 · best 3.29
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.74 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.08 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.72 · Under 2.07
probability of over 54.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
1 : 29.0%
0 : 17.8%
2 : 17.7%
1 : 06.6%
0 : 26.4%

Fiorentina vs Como: who is missing

Fiorentina

  • No reported absences

Como

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Como: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Fiorentina

2 NovWSassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina
29 OctDFiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
25 OctLInter 2–1 Fiorentina
18 OctLFiorentina 1–3 Como
10 OctLGenoa 2–1 Fiorentina

Como

1 NovWComo 1–0 Venezia
27 OctWTorino 1–3 Como
24 OctWComo 2–0 Sassuolo
21 OctWComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctWFiorentina 1–3 Como

Home and away

Fiorentina at home5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 5–11
Como away6 matches: 4W 1D 1L, goals 13–7

Fiorentina vs Como: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Como are 4th with 23 points (7W 2D 1L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Absent: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Fiorentina are missing: no absences. Como are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Fiorentina vs Como: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Fiorentina vs Como?

Our result tip is Draw or Como (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Como (X2).

Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?

Our probabilities: Fiorentina to win 31%, a draw 27%, Como to win 42%.

What time and where is kick-off?

18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy.

Who will be missing?

Fiorentina: no absences. Como: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.35).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (7.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.