Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fiorentina v Como is on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence); Marco Di Bello, Italy takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Fiorentina vs Como: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.29 | 3.70 | 2.33 |
| Market average | 3.08 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.48 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.44 | 38.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.54 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fiorentina 16th (8 points), Como 4th (23 points).
- Absences: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Fiorentina vs Como: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Fiorentina vs Como: who is missing
Fiorentina
- No reported absences
Como
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Fiorentina vs Como: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Fiorentina
Home and away
Fiorentina vs Como: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Como are 4th with 23 points (7W 2D 1L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Fiorentina are missing: no absences. Como are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Fiorentina vs Como: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Fiorentina vs Como?
Our result tip is Draw or Como (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Como (X2).
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
Our probabilities: Fiorentina to win 31%, a draw 27%, Como to win 42%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Fiorentina: no absences. Como: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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