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Serie A · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 19:45

Fiorentina vs Juventus: tip, odds and prediction – 8 November 2026, Serie A

VS
1Fiorentina3.70
XDraw3.70
2Juventus2.13

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:10

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Fiorentina v Juventus is on 8 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence). We think Juventus (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: tip and prediction
Result
Juventus to win
2.13
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
46%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Juventus (X2) – 73% probability, top odds 1.32.

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Fiorentina vs Juventus: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.703.702.13
Market average3.463.532.05
Lowest odds3.133.182.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2476.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7953.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.122.0446.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.9032.5%
BTTS – yes1.671.6357.0%
BTTS – no2.202.1743.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Fiorentina 16th (8 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Fiorentina 1W 2D 6L (11:21), Juventus 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
  • H2H: 34 matches: Fiorentina 6W 9D 19L, goals 29–47.
  • Absences: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Fiorentina27%
Draw27%
Juventus46%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.1% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Juventus (X2)72.8% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Both sides to score: yes57.0% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.3% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.12
Outsider
Juventus to win46.0% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.13
Outsider
Both sides to score: no43.0% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.5% · fair odds 3.07 · best 3.00
Outsider
Fiorentina to win27.2% · fair odds 3.67 · best 3.70
Outsider
Draw26.7% · fair odds 3.74 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.87
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
0 : 19.7%
1 : 29.3%
0 : 27.8%
1 : 07.3%
2 : 17.0%

Fiorentina vs Juventus: who is missing

Fiorentina

  • R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match

Juventus

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Fiorentina

2 NovWSassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina
29 OctDFiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
25 OctLInter 2–1 Fiorentina
18 OctLFiorentina 1–3 Como
10 OctLGenoa 2–1 Fiorentina

Juventus

1 NovWJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctLGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWLecce 0–2 Juventus
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLJuventus 0–3 Lazio

Home and away

Fiorentina at home5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 5–11
Juventus away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

Fiorentina vs Juventus: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Juventus are 7th with 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Fiorentina have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Juventus average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Fiorentina: 1W 2D 6L, goals 11–21; Juventus: 5W 2D 3L, goals 13–10.
  4. Head to head. In their 34 meetings so far, Fiorentina have 6 wins, Juventus have 19 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–47.

What to expect

Juventus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 34; Fiorentina 6 wins, 9 draws, Juventus 19 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Fiorentina 11–21, Juventus 13–10.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  5. Absent: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Fiorentina are missing: R. Sottil. Juventus are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Juventus: team stats compared

FiorentinaJuventus
22%Form78%
55%Attack45%
38%Defence63%
62%Head to head38%
67%Goals33%
45.7%Overall54.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

FiorentinaWDLLL
JuventusWLWLD

Fiorentina vs Juventus: head to head

All matches
6Fiorentina
9Draws
19Juventus
17/5/26 · Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina
22/11/25 · Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus
16/3/25 · Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus
29/12/24 · Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina
7/4/24 · Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina
5/11/23 · Fiorentina 0–1 Juventus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Fiorentina vs Juventus: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Our result tip is Juventus to win (odds 2.13), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Juventus (X2).

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Our probabilities: Fiorentina to win 27%, a draw 27%, Juventus to win 46%.

What time and where is kick-off?

8 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

Who will be missing?

Fiorentina: R. Sottil. Juventus: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.84); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.12).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (9.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.