Fiorentina v Juventus is on 8 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence). We think Juventus (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.70 | 3.70 | 2.13 |
| Market average | 3.46 | 3.53 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 3.13 | 3.18 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 76.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.79 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.04 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.90 | 32.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fiorentina 16th (8 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Fiorentina 1W 2D 6L (11:21), Juventus 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
- H2H: 34 matches: Fiorentina 6W 9D 19L, goals 29–47.
- Absences: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Fiorentina vs Juventus: who is missing
Fiorentina
- R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match
Juventus
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Fiorentina
Home and away
Fiorentina vs Juventus: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Juventus are 7th with 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Fiorentina have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Juventus average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fiorentina: 1W 2D 6L, goals 11–21; Juventus: 5W 2D 3L, goals 13–10.
- Head to head. In their 34 meetings so far, Fiorentina have 6 wins, Juventus have 19 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–47.
What to expect
Juventus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 34; Fiorentina 6 wins, 9 draws, Juventus 19 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Fiorentina 11–21, Juventus 13–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Fiorentina are missing: R. Sottil. Juventus are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Fiorentina vs Juventus: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Fiorentina vs Juventus: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Our result tip is Juventus to win (odds 2.13), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Juventus (X2).
Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Our probabilities: Fiorentina to win 27%, a draw 27%, Juventus to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
Who will be missing?
Fiorentina: R. Sottil. Juventus: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.84); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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